IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. John's
Big East
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.7	#93
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.5	#44
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.4	#105

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.3	#108

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	2.0%	2.4%	0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.9%	13.4%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	10.7%	12.1%	3.6%
Average Seed	8.8	8.7	9.5

.500 or above	39.4%	43.6%	17.6%
.500 or above in Conference	16.5%	18.1%	8.3%
Conference Champion	0.8%	1.0%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	36.0%	33.6%	48.5%

First Four	2.2%	2.4%	0.8%
First Round	10.7%	12.1%	3.5%
Second Round	4.8%	5.5%	1.2%
Sweet Sixteen	1.3%	1.6%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 10
Quad 2	3 - 5	5 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 2	8 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 1	15 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	204	Mercer	W	80-70	84%
Nov 09, 2019	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	87-66	97%
Nov 12, 2019	334	New Hampshire	W	78-59	96%
Nov 16, 2019	84	Vermont	W	72-71	55%
Nov 20, 2019	173	Columbia	W	81-73	77%
Nov 23, 2019	65	Arizona St.	L	79-82	38%
Nov 30, 2019	331	Wagner	W	77-58	95%
Dec 03, 2019	307	St. Peter's	W	75-59	92%
Dec 07, 2019	46	West Virginia	L	78-81	41%
Dec 10, 2019	171	Brown	W	82-74	76%
Dec 18, 2019	178	Albany	W	78-69	78%
Dec 21, 2019	31	Arizona	L	71-78	26%
Dec 31, 2019	56	Butler	L	72-74	44%
Jan 05, 2020	23	@ Xavier	L	68-79	17%
Jan 08, 2020	54	@ Georgetown	L	79-87	26%
Jan 11, 2020	97	DePaul	W	80-77	61%
Jan 15, 2020	36	@ Providence	L	69-79	21%
Jan 18, 2020	17	Seton Hall	L	74-80	31%
Jan 21, 2020	27	@ Marquette	L	72-83	19%
Jan 25, 2020	97	@ DePaul	L	77-80	41%
Jan 28, 2020	11	Villanova	L	67-75	24%
Feb 02, 2020	54	Georgetown	L	82-84	43%
Feb 08, 2020	37	@ Creighton	L	73-83	21%
Feb 12, 2020	36	Providence	L	72-76	38%
Feb 17, 2020	23	Xavier	L	71-76	34%
Feb 23, 2020	17	@ Seton Hall	L	71-83	16%
Feb 26, 2020	11	@ Villanova	L	64-78	12%
Mar 01, 2020	37	Creighton	L	76-80	38%
Mar 04, 2020	56	@ Butler	L	69-77	27%
Mar 07, 2020	27	Marquette	L	75-80	35%
Projected Record						14 - 16	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd											0.1	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.8	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.8	1.2	0.7	0.1	0.0						3.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.3	2.0	0.9	0.1	0.0							4.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.7	2.9	1.4	0.2	0.0								6.4	5th
6th					0.0	0.0	0.5	2.3	3.8	1.7	0.2	0.0									8.5	6th
7th					0.1	0.9	3.5	4.5	2.1	0.2	0.0										11.3	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	1.9	5.1	5.8	2.3	0.3	0.0											15.7	8th
9th		0.2	1.3	4.7	7.5	5.9	2.1	0.1	0.0												21.7	9th
10th	2.0	5.0	7.5	6.6	3.9	1.0	0.1														26.1	10th

Total	2.0	5.2	8.9	11.6	13.4	12.9	11.9	9.6	8.2	6.2	4.5	2.8	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	99.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	75.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	54.3%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	27.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	8.0%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%							0.0
17-1	0.0%		100.0%	9.3%	90.7%	2.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	35.4%	64.6%	2.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-3	0.2%		100.0%	13.1%	86.9%	3.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
14-4	0.4%		100.0%	20.9%	79.1%	4.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
13-5	0.8%		98.7%	12.3%	86.5%	6.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		98.6%
12-6	1.5%		91.0%	10.7%	80.2%	7.4			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.1		89.9%
11-7	2.8%		82.5%	5.3%	77.2%	8.6				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0				0.5		81.5%
10-8	4.5%		59.5%	3.7%	55.8%	9.5					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0				1.8		58.0%
9-9	6.2%		38.1%	3.3%	34.8%	10.1					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0			3.9		36.0%
8-10	8.2%		14.5%	2.5%	12.0%	10.4							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0				7.0		12.3%
7-11	9.6%		3.9%	0.6%	3.3%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				9.2		3.3%
6-12	11.9%		0.4%	0.1%	0.3%	11.0										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			11.8		0.3%
5-13	12.9%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	12.0											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			12.9		0.0%
4-14	13.4%		0.1%	0.1%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0			13.4
3-15	11.6%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0															0.0			11.6
2-16	8.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
1-17	5.2%																							5.2
0-18	2.0%																							2.0

Total	100%		11.9%	1.3%	10.6%	8.8		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.5	1.9	2.1	2.5	0.8	0.1	0.0		0.0	88.1		10.7%